Generally a slow week compared to last year. The contracts reported in Downtown Sarasota last week probably overstate demand by 50% as 9 of the 18 new contracts were recorded in the Vue. Most likely these contracts were actually executed much earlier. See my notes from the 11/4/2017 report for an explanation. The same issue is affecting both the 4 week and 13 week figures.
Pending sale volume was mostly up last week compared to the same week last year with every area showing increased activity except condos on Longboat and single family homes in west Bradenton.
The past 4 weeks were mostly flat with last year with single family home sales in west Bradenton being the only significant exception. The problem here is lack of inventory. The level of unsold single family homes in west Bradenton dropped below 200 for only the 3rd time 3 years.
For the past 13 weeks every area showed increased activity other than the aforementioned west Bradenton market. Even areas with large amounts of new construction are having strong existing home sales growth. In downtown Sarasota, existing home sales were up 19% over last year while Lakewood Ranch was up 16%
Downtown Sarasota pending condominium sales are up 40% over last year for the past 13 week period. Existing home sales accounted for most of the increase, up some 36% over last year. New constructions sales for the past 13 week period were less than 10% of total sales
Longboat Key pending condo sales were up 13% over the past 4 weeks and 26% over the past 13 weels. Pending sales were down most of the season and worked their way back to even with last year by the end of April. Most of the increase came during June.
In the Lakewood Ranch area (not all homes in the 2 zip code area are in Lakewood Ranch) pending home sales were up 14% over last year for the past 13 week period. New home sales were flat during this period so the entire increase came from resales. New construction pending sales are a much larger component of total sales than in Downtown Sarasota. For both 2017 and 2016, the last 13 weeks had 62 pending new construction sales or about a quarter of all home sales in the area.
A strong May and June is making for a huge second quarter.
The West Bradenton condo market was down for the week and only up 1% for the past 13 weeks largely due to the lack of inventory. May ended with just 257 condominiums on the market, not world record but low none the less. Worse, however was the lack of new listings during May. Only 51 condos were listed during May in West Bradenton, the least amount in any month over the past 10 years.
The big quarter in Downtown Sarasota is being powered by resales. While new construction pendings were up big (10 this year vs only 1 LY), existing home sales were up 35% with huge increases in the over $1M price points.
Click here to download pdf of report.
Pending sales (new contracts executed) are the best indication of current demand. The pending report provides a current week, 4-week, and 13-week view of this important statistic across 6 markets by price point range. The biggest difference between pendings and actual sales is timing. The contract or pending date is the date the contract was executed. The contract is not considered a “Sale” until it closes, on average, about 30 days after the contract date. Another difference is that not all pending sales close.
Pendings for the week ended June 10, 2017
This was another solid week, compared to last year, in nearly every area followed. Bad weather must have sent people shopping, rather than beaching.
The “over a million” price point in downtown continues to grow. For the past 13 weeks, pendings with prices over a million dollars amounted to 20% of the total. Last year, they accounted for only 16% of all pendings. For the past 4 weeks, the top of the market listings has accounted for 27% of all pendings Downtown, compared with only 8% last year.
If you have your home on the market or are thinking about putting it on the market, it’s always interesting to look ahead at what the next few weeks may bring. The consensus is that the third quarter is slow, but that’s not the case everywhere.
The chart shows last year’s percentage of pending sales by quarter. There is surprisingly little seasonality in any of the markets, other than Longboat Key. Even the Longboat Key condo market is not horrible. Last year, 66 condos went to contract in the 3rd quarter, compared to 91 in the 2nd quarter. That works out to about 22 per month in the third quarter, compared to 30 per month in the second quarter. Next quarter should provide plenty of opportunity for a well- priced listing to find a buyer.